April 11, 2022
Cars still had points and a distributor
Often in trends especially either in the economy and finances or the automotive
industry people like to look forward. Yet how many go and check predictions. In
star gazing on the stock market or finance it can be said that the experts can
be either "right or they can be wrong". Yet in the auto pallet truck
& trucks field the experts often make specific forecasts and determinations.
Let's look back at one set of predictions and compare them to the present in
2010 / 2011 to judge accuracy and validity.
Here from a February 1981 financial
& business"Boardroom Reports", which listed itself as the "Management's
Source of Useful Information" are the predictions in an article in the journal
whose title was "What's Down the Road in Truck Design"Following are the
predictions:1) More diesel engines: the prediction here is that half of all
medium-duty trucks are likely to be powered by diesels in 1985. Guess what the
pundits are accurate here. It can be held that in 2010 95 % of all heavy duty
trucks are diesel as are the majority of medium duty trucks.
Its diesel that
powers most of the trucking and movement of goods across America, Canada and the
NAFTA US, Canadian, Mexican roads and highways and brings goods and fresh
produce to us in a quick , economical and reliable fashion.2) Smaller Engines -
the prediction here was that by 1990 only 18 % of light trucks are expected to
use V-8 engines by 1990. Whoa Nellie , someone sure saw fuel price increases -
both gas and diesel coming down the pipeline here. Who would have believed then
(in 1981) that diesel fuel (which after all is basically waste oil) would be
more costly in price and pricing than even gasoline? What may not have been
expected in this calculation were the great strides and improvements in engine
designs and electronics that would lead to more powerful engines of smaller size
with even greater fuel and miles per gallon fuel economies to be had overall.3)
Turbocharging: which uses exhaust gas to increase combustion will be used more
often to offset engine size reductions. Bingo dead on again. According to
trucking industry experts to begin with almost all diesel powered big rig heavy
duty tractor rigs all have turbochargers, few with exception.
It's a hand in
hand to the advanced electronics, increases in fuel costs and lower engine sizes
overall.4) Front Wheel Drive- It is often forgotten by many that it was not that
long ago that most vehicles not only trucks but also all cars on the road were
rear wheel drive. Overall it was easier and cheaper for auto manufacturers to
build them that way. What made the changes at least in non-commercial vehicles
were the demands by government agencies for fuel economy in measured fleets.
Front wheel drive allows for less weight, as there is no drive train running
through the middle hump of the car.
This allows for weight and space savings. A
smaller sized ( and lighter vehicle) then results which has greater interior
space in the same exterior volume and weighs less to result in both more
passenger space with higher fuel economies and miles per gallon measurements and
costs.What was generally not even anticipated at the time was the front wheel
drive format would work its way into light trucks and vans as well.5)
Computerized Controls and Diagnostic Systems: Again we may take this for granted
in 2011. Yet in 1980 simple even primitive yet reliable electronic systems were
the norm.
Cars still had points and a distributor as opposed to electronic
ignition. Though fuel injection systems had been around since World War 2
carburetors were still the most widely used and popular forms of fuel and
fueling systems for engines. Not many in 1980 would even dream that cars and
trucks would become rolling computers and fewer yet could envision working on
them as an auto mechanic or diagnostician.In the end it can be summarized that
these predictions in the early 1980's of future trends in the automotive and
trucking industry were for the most part accurate and have held water - or in
this case gas and diesel fuel. Bravo.
Posted by: hydraulictruck at
07:15 AM
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